2014 Paris-Nice: Notes from stage two

Moreno Hofland’s big result

Another sprint stage but the finish was on a twisting uphill drag that came immediately after a right hand turn, so it was always going to require slightly different characteristics to yesterdays flatter straighter finish. When the lead group took hit the uphill drag Moreno Hofland (Belkin) was the first to react, launching his sprint very early and having the strength to hold on for the win. Eight days previously Hofland lost out to Tom Boonen (Omega Pharma – Quick Step) because he left it too late, clearly he was unwilling to repeat the same mistake. John Degenkolb (Giant-Shimano) and Nacer Bouhanni (FDJ) tried to get back to him but had to settle for 2nd and 3rd respectively, though Bouhanni safely holds on to the Yellow Jersey. When I added Moreno Hofland to my 2014 rider watch list, it was because I expected that he would have an exciting year, but even with his current form I didn’t expect that he would win today. So chapeau to Moreno Hofland.

Gianni Meersman’s topsy-turvy day

Most of the race went to plan for the Belgian fast man, gather the time bonification’s for 3rd place at both intermediate sprints set him perfectly to inherit the Yellow Jersey. Perhaps he hoped to take the jersey today; or more likely after the 4th stage, where the pure sprinters would almost certainly be dropped prior to the finish. However with around 10km to go it all went wrong for Meersman, as a nasty pile up saw him hit the deck and lose contact with the peloton. Once back on his bike Meersman raced to get back in the lead group, to take the Yellow Jersey on stage four, he needed to avoid losing time today. No team mates waited for him, with Jan Bakelants and Zdenek Stybar, the team has the overall classification in mind; instead he received assistance from the Omega Pharma-Quick Step team car, with the most flagrant pull back to the peloton you will ever see. It almost worked, he had just reached the rear of the peloton before the finish and would have been awarded the same time as the winner had the pack not been split on the run in, instead Meersman finished 18 seconds down. Worse was to follow as the commissaires’ took a dim view of the OPQS shenanigans and deducted a further 70 seconds from his time, there will be no stint in Yellow for Meersman. They can often be lenient with riders trying to chase back from a crash, but not when the advantage gained from pulling behind the car is so obvious, nor when it lasts so long.

Meersman wasn’t the only rider to suffer a set back today, those splits on the peloton meant that small time gaps were recorded amongst the riders in the front group, and that could be hugely important in a race that is expected to be tight at the top. Of the likely GC contenders Tony Gallopin (Lotto Belisol) and Geraint Thomas (Team Sky) were the major beneficiaries, finishing on the same time as Hofland. Carlos Betancur (AG2R) finished 5 seconds back while most other contenders came in 7 seconds down.

Looking ahead to stage three

Stage three: Toucy – Circuit de Nevers Magny-Cours
Image from http://www.letour.com/indexPNC_us.html

A third consecutive sprint stage, with this one finishing on the Magny-Cours race course. The run in has some ramps and looks quite technical so positioning will be key and crashes likely as riders try to force their way to the front.

2014 Team Preview – Omega Pharma-Quick Step

2013 was a successful year for the star-studded Belgian team. The Points Jersey in the Giro, 10 Grand Tour stage wins, 13 stage wins in the other World Tour races, winning the overall in the Eneco Tour and a number of other short stage races (none of which featured the high mountains), and retained the World TTT title, a good season by any measure. Except this is a Belgian team and more than anything else they desire success in the Spring Classics and it didn’t materialise. With Tom Boonen struggling for fitness the best they could manage was a 3rd in Paris-Roubaix for Niki Terpstra, good for most teams but not good enough for OPQS. There were mitigating factors of course. The absence of a fit Boonen was the major reason for underachievement on the cobbles, while collisions with spectators for Stijn Vandenbergh and Zdenek Stybar in the closing kilometres of Paris-Roubaix greatly impacted the outcome of that race. In the Ardennes Classics, Michal Kwiatkowski finished 4th in the Amstel Gold Race and 5th in La Fleche Wallonne, but the team was a non-factor in Liege-Bastogne-Liege, the biggest of the three. In 2014 they hope their Cobbled Classic unit will be led by a revitalised Tom Boonen, and in Stybar, Terpstra and Vandenburgh they will have ample alternative options to support him or take up the baton if he fails to recapture the form that has made him an all-time great on the Pave.

Away from the Pave, Mark Cavendish provides the teams’ greatest stage win threat, a truly elite sprinter with ridiculous acceleration. The British Champion took 18 victories in 2013, 7 coming in Grand Tours; he also won the Points Jersey in the Giro, becoming only the 5th rider to win the Points Jersey in all three Grand Tours. While he won two stages at the Tour de France, being eclipsed by Marcel Kittel there will give extra motivation for 2014. The team had its share of sprint mishaps, but overall Gert Steegmans and Matteo Trentin offered strong support for Cavendish. The team added Alessandro Petacchi in August and then recruited Mark Renshaw to renew his partnership with Cavendish. Renshaw was the principal pilot fish for Cavendish when they were at HTC, and while at times he may have bee n a touch over-zealous, he did a terrific job. Those four riders should combine to provide Cavendish with terrific support (as might Tom Boonen), as well as offering a stage win threat of their own. Gianni Meersman is a more opportunistic fast man; he lacks the top end speed for the big bunch sprints but climbs well enough to reach finishes that are out of reach for the more orthodox sprinters. They will also have the services of Der Panzerwagen, Tony Martin, the World ITT Champion and an absolute powerhouse. Martin is a proven winner, a major contender for every non-mountainous ITT he enters and a potential winner of the shorter stage races, when there is a TT stage and no high mountains. He has at times shown a surprising ability to climb but there is a trade-off between that and his time trialing power, he can lose some muscle to maximise his climbing or keep the muscle to remain a time trial specialist. Losing the exciting Sylvain Chavanel is a blow, as was the departure of Peter Velits, but the team have recruited well, bringing in riders who can try and take some of the opportunities offered to Chavanel and Velits. Wout Poels and Thomas De Gendt both join after underwhelming final seasons for Vacansoleil-DCM. Poels is a naturally gifted climber who should impress in the mountains if he is finally back to full strength. De Gendt is a very talented but maddeningly inconsistent rider, will OPQS get the rider who finished 3rd overall in the 2012 Giro D’Italia, or the one who could only finish 96th overall in the 2013 Tour de France? By contrast Jan Bakelants joins in the form of his career having won a stage and taken Yellow in the Tour de France, he is another good climber and an attacking rider. All three of them should increase the teams climbing options and along with the returning climbers, of whom Pieter Serry has shown the most promise, should form the support unit for the teams two outstanding climbing talents, Kwiatkowski and the newly signed Rigoberto Uran.

What to do with Rigoberto Uran?

By leaving Sky and joining OPQS, Uran has moved from being a key domestique to being a team leader. He will have the opportunity to ride for himself in the Grand Tours but it is still unclear which Grand Tours he will tackle in 2014. The most recent indication is that he will ride the Giro and Vuelta before going for the Tour in 2015, but it had previously been suggested that he could ride the Tour de France this year. His choice of team surprised many; OPQS do not have a great tradition with GC riders and there is little chance that an OPQS GC rider would be able to go into a Grand Tour with a full team behind him. When finishing 2nd in the 2013 Giro, Uran demonstrated he was a strong rider who can do well with limited support, and he will have to do so again when riding in a team that is designed to support an elite sprinter such as Cavendish. The trick for the Quick Step team is to find a balance in the squad, which is where versatile riders who can impress on multiple terrain types, such as Tony Martin, come in. Chavanel and Velits would have been terrific assets in that respect had they remained with the team. However the presence of Michal Kwiatkowski is a terrific boon, a rider who can support Uran in the high mountains and still play a role in the sprints. Kwiatkowski really burst onto the scene in 2013, he is good in the mountains, great on the shorter punchier climbs, tests well against the clock and has very good speed at the finish for a talented climber. He can work for a sprinter and handle himself on the cobbles, an all-round talent that any team would be glad to have. 2014 may be a quieter year for the young Pole if he has more domestique duties, but his future is very bright.

2014 outlook

It’s not hard to work out the 2014 game plan for the Omega Pharma-Quick Step team. Stage wins and lots of them, a top 5 place or even a podium finish in a Grand Tour and back to the top in the Spring Classics, they have the riders to do it if things go their way.

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Recent Cycling News #1

I’ve taken a bit of a post-Vuelta break from writing about cycling. The cycling season is almost over now but I hope to post semi-regular articles throughout the off-season.

Racing news

We saw a number of outstanding performances at the World Championships in Florence. Tony Martin and Ellen van Dijk dominated their respective time trials, no one could match them. Matej Mohoric showed descending skills that were as impressive as they were unusual, as he won the Mens u23 road race. Marianne Vos looked amazing as she attacked and dropped all her rivals on the Via Salviati, going on to retain her title. It was the sixth time Vos had competed in the race,the second time she had been victorious and in each of the other four she finished 2nd, it’s amazing to think that she is only 26. The mens road race is generally dominated by chaos and this was no exception. Where normally that chaos is the result of frequent attacking, this time it was the weather that was to blame, with crashes galore and a final selection made through attrition. It was a less appealing spectacle than usual, yet it seemed fitting given the way the season began. At the end it came down to four riders, Italy’s Vincenzo Nibali, Portugal’s Rui Costa and the Spanish pair of Joaquim Rodriguez and Alejandro Valverde. Spain were playing everything right, with Rodriguez on the offensive, forcing Nibali to work while letting Valverde lurk, waiting for his moment. That moment never came, instead Costa went in solo pursuit of Rodriguez, catching him and winning on the line. Purito looked aghast when he saw that Costa was on his wheel and with Valverde nowhere in sight. The Spanish move had been correct, let one go on the attack, if no chase appears then Rodriguez takes victory for Spain. Yet if Nibali and Costa brought it back together then Valverde would be the fastest on the line, taking victory for Spain, but Valverde fluffed his lines. There was talk afterwards that he simply didn’t have the legs to follow Costa, or that he was doing his Movistar team mate a favour, but I don’t buy either argument. Instead it looked like he made a tactical mistake, choosing to follow Nibali in the belief he would chase the move down, rather than following the fresher Costa.

Rodriguez had his revenge a week later when he won the Giro di Lombardia for the second consecutive season. Rather annoyingly the final monument of the season wasn’t shown live in the UK, with the company that owned the broadcast rights choosing to offer only highlights instead. Presumably they couldn’t be bothered showing it because the team they sponsored wasn’t going to do anything useful in the race. Well that’s my take on it anyway, perhaps they only owned the rights to show highlights and I have done them a disservice, if so I apologize.

 

Janier Acevedo joins Garmin-Sharp rather than Omega Pharma-Quick Step

Although it was reported that Acevedo had a verbal agreement with Omega Pharma-Quick Step, he clearly changed his mind, opting for Garmin-Sharp instead. Much of my opinions about his reported move to OPQS (see link below) hold true for this one was well, he joins a team which intends to build a stronger GC team, one that will make use of his skill set and has also shown a willingness to let riders attack. Moreover with Garmin-Sharp he will likely race in some of the same American races in which he starred this year. Perhaps most importantly we will get the chance to see his terrific descending skills on the World Tour in 2014

 

Omega Pharma-Quick Step sign Jan Bakelants and Thomas de Gendt

Bakelants is pretty much a direct replacement for role held by Sylvain Chavanel, the attacking jack of all trades. He is less of a time trialist but a better climber and his star has definitely been on the rise. De Gendt was signed to replace the Acevedo deal, it will likely result in weaker climbing support for Uran than they had hoped for, but if they can manage to get the chemistry right with De Gendt, they could have a very strong rider on their hands.

 

Mikel Nieve joins Sky Procycling

After an impressive showing in the mountains of the Tour de France, Nieve has opted to continue his career at Sky. I’m a little surprised as I thought he might have a chance as a leader on a smaller team, whereas at Sky he will likely be a very strong climbing domestique for Froome. From Sky’s point of view it’s a great signing, with Porte looking like leading their Giro offensive while Froome returns to the Tour, the team needs more strong climbing support options to compete on both fronts.

 

Jonathan Tiernan-Locke has some biological passport difficulties

This is an unfortunate story, partly because it shouldn’t be a story at all yet, this process is supposed to be confidential. Basically the case seems to be alleging that his blood values during the 2013 season do not match those recorded when he was winning the Tour of Britain in 2012. I don’t know much about the blood values that the passport looks at, and I certainly know little about this case, so the opinion I am about to voice is pure conjecture. When Jonathan Tiernan-Locke was making his way as a young cyclist he contracted the Epstein-Barr virus and reportedly developed Chronic Post-Viral Fatigue Syndrome (CFS) as a result. He spent three years out of the sport while coping with this before being able to get his life back on track. This year at Sky Procycling there have been reports of him feeling tired and over worked, certainly the Sky regimen is more intense and structured than what he was used to. CFS acts upon a persons energy levels, when it is affecting you, even if it is only doing so mildly, you have less energy/greater fatigue. As someone who has suffered from CFS for the last nine years (see my other blog link in the about me section), I can sympathize with that, there have been periods where I have been very healthy again only to be knocked back by illness or over doing things, then I spend months at a level below my best. I don’t know how that would look when looking at the blood values used for the biological passport, but I suspect that if they are measures of physical performance or of energy use, then they would measure lower in someone with an illness such as CFS. If he has been more fatigued this year as a result of being over worked, then CFS may have raised it’s ugly head a little and could be the reason for any discrepancy, rather than doping. I realize that’s an awful lot of conjecture but I felt I had to put the opinion out there. I don’t know the man and have no idea whether he has done anything wrong, and while I can see a way that the dots connect to suggest his illness history is responsible rather than anything illicit, that doesn’t make it so.

 

Europcar apply to join the World Tour

With the demise of both Vacansoleil-DCM and Euskaltel-Euskadi, there is space for a new team on the World Tour level. Europcar are the only team that have applied to make the step up, so as long as they meet all the required criteria it looks like they will be in the World Tour for 2014. If so they will need to do some serious recruiting. Although they have been racing in a large number of World Tour events in recent seasons, they were still able to pick and choose which events they entered, enabling them to operate with a weaker overall squad than World Tour teams, but with enough cream at the top to succeed. They have already lost some of their bigger names, Damian Gaudin and Sebastien Turgot joined AG2R, so they will have to do a lot of shopping. Fortunately for them, with several teams disbanding the market is flooded with riders, they may not be able to fill the roster with stars but they should be able to be competitive.